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Otranspo

Route

11

OC Transpo

Waller ↔ Bayshore
All imported trips are marked accessible.Imported schedule valid through: Oct 4, 2026

Verdict

What this route needs

Timetable short by 3.3 to 3.9 min in 10 hours of the day.

Buses already leave about 3.3 min late and hold it to the end. The running time is right; the terminal is the problem.

Unreliable 17:00 to 20:00: a bad trip runs 27.1 min behind a normal one.

Fix: recovery time at the terminal so the next trip starts on time. More running time would not help here.

Arrivals within five minutes, by hour of day, last 14 days, 22 hours measured
  1. 00:00: 83.6% of arrivals on time, 835 arrivals, typically 1.8 min late
  2. 01:00: 85.7% of arrivals on time, 279 arrivals, typically 2.3 min late
  3. 02:00: not enough data
  4. 03:00: not enough data
  5. 04:00: 88.1% of arrivals on time, 270 arrivals, typically 1.4 min late
  6. 05:00: 80.3% of arrivals on time, 1,287 arrivals, typically 2.2 min late
  7. 06:00: 85% of arrivals on time, 1,950 arrivals, typically 1.9 min late
  8. 07:00: 90.5% of arrivals on time, 2,181 arrivals, typically 2 min late
  9. 08:00: 81.2% of arrivals on time, 1,626 arrivals, typically 2.3 min late
  10. 09:00: 70.2% of arrivals on time, 1,856 arrivals, typically 2.5 min late
  11. 10:00: 66% of arrivals on time, 2,102 arrivals, typically 3.3 min late
  12. 11:00: 62.9% of arrivals on time, 2,440 arrivals, typically 2.9 min late
  13. 12:00: 62.4% of arrivals on time, 2,070 arrivals, typically 3.8 min late
  14. 13:00: 63.6% of arrivals on time, 2,215 arrivals, typically 3.2 min late
  15. 14:00: 55.5% of arrivals on time, 2,085 arrivals, typically 4.1 min late
  16. 15:00: 51.1% of arrivals on time, 1,617 arrivals, typically 4.6 min late
  17. 16:00: 59% of arrivals on time, 1,184 arrivals, typically 3.8 min late
  18. 17:00: 55.9% of arrivals on time, 1,036 arrivals, typically 3.9 min late. Unreliable: a bad trip runs far behind a normal one.
  19. 18:00: 73.7% of arrivals on time, 1,218 arrivals, typically 2.4 min late. Unreliable: a bad trip runs far behind a normal one.
  20. 19:00: 63.2% of arrivals on time, 1,025 arrivals, typically 2.7 min late. Unreliable: a bad trip runs far behind a normal one.
  21. 20:00: 70.2% of arrivals on time, 1,152 arrivals, typically 3.4 min late
  22. 21:00: 62.9% of arrivals on time, 819 arrivals, typically 3.7 min late
  23. 22:00: 58.4% of arrivals on time, 750 arrivals, typically 3.8 min late
  24. 23:00: 68% of arrivals on time, 845 arrivals, typically 2.6 min late
  • 90% or more on time
  • 80 to 90% on time
  • under 80% on time
  • not enough data
  • unreliable: a bad trip runs 20 min or more behind a normal one
WhatWhenMeasuredFix
ProblemLate by the timetable10:00 · 12:00 to 18:00 · 20:00 to 23:003.3 min late … 3.7 min lateRecovery time at the terminal
ProblemUnreliable17:00 to 20:0027.1 min swingOperations, not the timetable
Measurements
Late by the timetable · 12:00 to 18:00
medianDelaySeconds 233
spreadSeconds 972
observations 10,207
hoursAffected 6
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 3.9
Late by the timetable · 20:00 to 23:00
medianDelaySeconds 219
spreadSeconds 483
observations 2,721
hoursAffected 3
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 3.7
Unreliable · 17:00 to 20:00
medianDelaySeconds 161
spreadSeconds 1,626
observations 3,279
hoursAffected 3
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 2.7
Late by the timetable · 10:00
medianDelaySeconds 196
spreadSeconds 909
observations 2,102
hoursAffected 1
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 3.3
10:00 656810:00 666912:00 677112:00 727613:00 677113:00 727614:00 687214:00 768015:00 737715:00 788216:00 697316:00 778117:00 697317:00 697320:00 515520:00 505421:00 465021:00 485222:00 424622:00 4751

Route check

How route 11 is doing

A plain-language summary of the strongest evidence we have. We say when the data cannot answer a question.

Bottom line

Service is unreliable often enough to affect riders.

69 in 100 arrivals were within 5 minutes of schedule · 55,747 arrivals checked

Confidence in this summary: High

Based on 55,747 arrivals over 20 weekdays, from Aug 9, 2026 to Sep 8, 2026.

Updated Sep 8, 2026, 2:32 a.m.

Where and when does it keep going wrong?

These are repeated patterns, not one bad day or an unverified rider report. They are measured the same way as the verdict above, over the same arrivals, but they are counted per stop rather than per hour, so the two lists need not match line for line.

  1. 3 p.m.–4 p.m.: 49 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (1,617 arrivals over 7 days).
  2. 2 p.m.–3 p.m.: 45 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (2,085 arrivals over 8 days).
  3. 5 p.m.–6 p.m.: 44 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (1,036 arrivals over 8 days).
  4. 10 p.m.–11 p.m.: 42 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (750 arrivals over 7 days).

No current official notice matches this route.

Problem places

  1. BAYVIEW B

    61 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (329 arrivals over 15 days).

    Open this stop
  2. ALBERT / CITY CENTRE

    60 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (331 arrivals over 16 days).

    Open this stop
  3. PRESTON / ALBERT

    58 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (330 arrivals over 15 days).

    Open this stop
  4. SOMERSET W / BAYSWATER

    58 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (453 arrivals over 21 days).

    Open this stop

These are route-specific settled arrivals. They identify a repeated location and time difference, but do not prove the cause.

Check every trip and date

Open a time period to see each service day, scheduled trip, feed gap, observed public vehicle ID, and the exact counts behind this summary.

What riders want to know

Is any trip cancelled right now?
0 of 12

Checks trips starting at route endpoints in the next 4 hours. This is not a historical cancellation rate.

Possible no-shows after checking feed gaps?
332 of 693 checked trips need a closer look

332 of 693 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 47 of 740 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.

How late does this route get?
The slowest 5 in 100 were more than about 17.5 min late

69 in 100 arrivals were within 5 minutes of schedule.

Do buses bunch or leave long gaps?
6.6 min average predicted wait

0.7 min beyond the scheduled wait, based on 2,511 arrivals at 10 high-frequency stops over 9 days.

Schedule change check

Fall schedule: before and after

This compares the official schedule that ended with the one that started August 30. Schedule changes are facts about what was planned; they do not prove that a trip ran.

Current published schedule began September 4, 2026

What the official notice says about this route

The City’s public summary did not name this route. The feed comparison below can still show a changed timetable, but it cannot tell us why it changed.

Read the official August 30 service-change notice

One comparable weekday from each published schedule

We use the first Monday after the new schedule began and the Monday one week earlier. Every figure comes from the retained official GTFS versions named below.

Before

Service date checked: August 31, 2026

Scheduled trips
129
Distinct scheduled stops
133
Distinct published paths
4
Published service span
04:2625:26

Feed fingerprint: ecc28a3727bcaff4 · 345fd07d-fb05-4eaa-8ec2-3daf8b7fcbe9

New schedule

Service date checked: September 7, 2026

Scheduled trips
72
Distinct scheduled stops
134
Distinct published paths
4
Published service span
06:2625:05

Feed fingerprint: e0b417f2ea03fcf0 · 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad

Did service improve after the change?

We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.

Still collecting: before has 27,792 arrivals over 13 days; after has 4,131 arrivals over 3 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.

How this route is judged: Regular all-stop route

We compare observed arrivals with the official schedule. A result needs at least 200 arrivals. Within 5 minutes is the rider-facing target used here.

What this data cannot prove

The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.

See the definitions, thresholds and evidence order
  1. Official current feed: explicit cancellations, skipped stops and active notices.
  2. Matched observations: vehicle positions and settled predictions tied to the official schedule.
  3. Official timetable: what was planned, kept separate from what was observed.
  4. Rider and operator reports: leads about routes, times and places to investigate, not numeric proof by themselves.

Would you count on route 11?

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Live route map

Where the buses are now

Fresh vehicle positions appear on the route below. A marker stops moving when the evidence runs out. We do not invent movement.

Route and live buses

The line is the official route. Dots show published stops, buses seen now and stops named in current notices.

0 official shapes · 134 stops · 0 vehicle markers

Loading official route geometry · Loading current vehicles

Markers move between GPS fixes using measured progress along the published route. They pause after one measured reporting interval, on a measured standstill, or when evidence becomes stale.

Repeated problem stops: WELLINGTON / PARKDALE, WELLINGTON / CARRUTHERS, WELLINGTON / MELROSE, WELLINGTON / SOMERSET W, SOMERSET W / BAYSWATER and 2 more. These are highlighted from route-specific settled arrivals with at least 60 observations over 3 days; the pattern does not prove a cause.

Open the full-screen map
Today’s schedule

Service date September 8, 2026

Towards Waller
64 scheduled trips
4:26 a.m.–12:44 a.m. (next day)
28 min median scheduled gap
Towards Bayshore
25 scheduled trips
7:34 a.m.–9:05 p.m.
30 min median scheduled gap
Towards Lincoln Fields
40 scheduled trips
4:45 a.m.–1:26 a.m. (next day)
30 min median scheduled gap

Span and median gap are computed from today’s official GTFS stop_times. They are timetable measures, not observed headways or a frequency guarantee.

Next trips from the ends of the route

These are trip starts. For the time at your stop, open that stop’s departure board.

  1. Towards Waller

    Starts at LINCOLN FIELDS 3B

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  2. Towards Lincoln Fields

    Starts at WALLER / LAURIER E

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  3. Towards Waller

    Starts at LINCOLN FIELDS 3B

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  4. Towards Lincoln Fields

    Starts at WALLER / LAURIER E

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

Showing 4 of 12 trips. Open a stop for its full departure board.

Buses seen now

The current healthy operator position feed contains no vehicle matched to this route.

Official notices

No matching active notice appears in the current healthy operator feed.

Planned changes

No safely matched planned change is recorded for this route.

These are Otranspo register records, separate from operator alerts. A record is attached only when its route label identifies one operator; ambiguous OC Transpo/STO number matches are withheld.

Evidence checked Sep 8, 2:45 a.m.

Provisional results, published evidence

When is this route reliable?

Every hour below is backed by this route’s settled arrivals. “On time” means no more than five minutes early or late, so a bus that leaves very early counts as a failure for the waiting rider.

Evidence window: August 9, 2026 to September 8, 2026

Within 5 minutes of schedule
68.7%
Arrivals checked
55,747
Weekdays with data
20
How late the worst 5 in 100 were
17.5 min late
Patterns by hour (22)
HourOn timeMedianWorst 5 in 100Evidence
00:0083.6%1.8 min late7.3 min late835 · 6 days
01:0085.7%2.3 min late5.7 min late279 · 6 days
04:0088.1%1.4 min late6.2 min late270 · 5 days
05:0080.3%2.2 min late7.6 min late1,287 · 6 days
06:0085.0%1.9 min late7.4 min late1,950 · 7 days
07:0090.5%2 min late5.9 min late2,181 · 6 days
08:0081.2%2.3 min late8.8 min late1,626 · 8 days
09:0070.2%2.5 min late14 min late1,856 · 11 days
10:0066.0%3.3 min late18.4 min late2,102 · 9 days
11:0062.9%2.9 min late13.9 min late2,440 · 9 days
12:0062.4%3.8 min late14.7 min late2,070 · 9 days
13:0063.6%3.2 min late14.1 min late2,215 · 10 days
14:0055.5%4.1 min late21.2 min late2,085 · 8 days
15:0051.1%4.6 min late19.9 min late1,617 · 7 days
16:0059.0%3.8 min late21.5 min late1,184 · 6 days
17:0055.9%3.9 min late36.6 min late1,036 · 8 days
18:0073.7%2.4 min late27.7 min late1,218 · 8 days
19:0063.2%2.7 min late29.8 min late1,025 · 8 days
20:0070.2%3.4 min late15.7 min late1,152 · 8 days
21:0062.9%3.7 min late9.9 min late819 · 6 days
22:0058.4%3.8 min late11.9 min late750 · 7 days
23:0068.0%2.6 min late9 min late845 · 7 days

12 hourly block(s) are below 70% across at least three service days: a repeated pattern, not one bad day.

Scheduled bus, but not observed in realtime

361 / 740 scheduled trips published at least one position across 7 service days (48.8%).

  • 00:0013 / 18 trips without a position27.8%
  • 23:0019 / 28 trips without a position32.1%
  • 14:0026 / 40 trips without a position35.0%
  • 21:0014 / 23 trips without a position39.1%
  • 22:0017 / 28 trips without a position39.3%
  • 20:0016 / 28 trips without a position42.9%

This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.

Arrival check: the last prediction within ten minutes of arrival, counted once per trip, stop and service date. Trip check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.

See all stops and route patterns

Stops and stations

4 official stop patterns

Each row below is one exact stop order published in the official schedule. Short turns and alternate destinations stay separate.

Choose a direction or stop pattern
Clear selection
  • Towards Waller: BAYSHORE A to WALLER / NICHOLAS

    71 stops · 273 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Waller: LINCOLN FIELDS 3B to WALLER / NICHOLAS

    55 stops · 307 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Bayshore: WALLER / LAURIER E to BAYSHORE B

    73 stops · 268 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Lincoln Fields: WALLER / LAURIER E to LINCOLN FIELDS 4B

    55 stops · 317 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar

Official feed version 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad

Source checksum e0b417f2ea03fcf035ed795c07b47461157b81b0c43d43639094105ed66b0a4a

Evidence behind this pageOpen the definition, method, sources, dates, coverage, and known limits.

What is being shown

The current public route group, its published schedule variants and stop patterns, current operations, and matching observed reliability where available.

How it was produced

1 current GTFS route record variants are grouped by operator and public route number. Stop patterns remain tied to their published variant; aggregated reliability records are not merged into an invented percentile.

Evidence dates

Collected or observed
Computed or assembled
Sample
55,747 settled arrivals across 1 matching reliability records.
Coverage
4 published stop patterns containing 254 stop calls are available on this page.
Method or data version
last-prediction-within-ten-minutes-v1; 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad; e0b417f2ea03fcf035ed795c07b47461157b81b0c43d43639094105ed66b0a4a

Sources

Limits to keep in mind

  • Schedule variants can apply on different dates. A grouped route is not a claim that every pattern operates today.
  • Accessibility fields report only what the operator publishes; an unknown value is not confirmation of access.
Suggest a factual correction

Rider evidence

Community reports

Signals below are moderated community aggregates, not official operator notices or reliability scores.

You can report without signing in. Anonymous reports count a little less when we calculate public patterns. You can add an account after submitting.

Report a specific problem

Emergency: call 9-1-1. Check official OC Transpo or STO notices before travelling.

Source: currently imported OC Transpo GTFS. Check the Alerts panel for current official notices and each stop page for observed departures.