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Otranspo

Route

12

OC Transpo

Blair ↔ Tunney's Pasture
All imported trips are marked accessible.Imported schedule valid through: Oct 4, 2026

Verdict

What this route needs

Timetable short by 4.1 min in 13 hours of the day.

Buses leave about 2.5 min late and lose another 3.4 min along the route.

Unreliable 18:00 to 20:00: a bad trip runs 25.7 min behind a normal one.

Fix: 4 min more running time on 1,105 trips. Needs 15 more buses.

This changes running time only. It does not move departure times, rewrite headways, or check that a driver’s shift still fits, and a scheduler has to.

Arrivals within five minutes, by hour of day, last 14 days, 23 hours measured
  1. 00:00: 92.7% of arrivals on time, 1,043 arrivals, typically 1.5 min late
  2. 01:00: 83.7% of arrivals on time, 827 arrivals, typically 1.7 min late
  3. 02:00: 87.9% of arrivals on time, 323 arrivals, typically 0.2 min early
  4. 03:00: not enough data
  5. 04:00: 90.1% of arrivals on time, 795 arrivals, typically 1.6 min late
  6. 05:00: 90.9% of arrivals on time, 1,141 arrivals, typically 2.8 min late
  7. 06:00: 85.6% of arrivals on time, 1,641 arrivals, typically 2.3 min late
  8. 07:00: 81.7% of arrivals on time, 2,135 arrivals, typically 2.7 min late
  9. 08:00: 73.9% of arrivals on time, 1,710 arrivals, typically 3 min late
  10. 09:00: 68.1% of arrivals on time, 1,781 arrivals, typically 2.9 min late
  11. 10:00: 57.8% of arrivals on time, 2,121 arrivals, typically 4 min late
  12. 11:00: 63.3% of arrivals on time, 2,709 arrivals, typically 3.5 min late
  13. 12:00: 58.5% of arrivals on time, 2,120 arrivals, typically 3.9 min late
  14. 13:00: 62.8% of arrivals on time, 2,175 arrivals, typically 3.5 min late
  15. 14:00: 56.1% of arrivals on time, 1,862 arrivals, typically 4.1 min late
  16. 15:00: 56.6% of arrivals on time, 1,785 arrivals, typically 3.8 min late
  17. 16:00: 51.7% of arrivals on time, 1,511 arrivals, typically 4.4 min late
  18. 17:00: 49.1% of arrivals on time, 1,483 arrivals, typically 4.9 min late
  19. 18:00: 58.1% of arrivals on time, 1,757 arrivals, typically 4.2 min late. Unreliable: a bad trip runs far behind a normal one.
  20. 19:00: 53.7% of arrivals on time, 1,425 arrivals, typically 4.7 min late. Unreliable: a bad trip runs far behind a normal one.
  21. 20:00: 57.1% of arrivals on time, 1,540 arrivals, typically 4.1 min late
  22. 21:00: 53.1% of arrivals on time, 1,348 arrivals, typically 4.8 min late
  23. 22:00: 64.7% of arrivals on time, 1,355 arrivals, typically 3.5 min late
  24. 23:00: 82.8% of arrivals on time, 1,119 arrivals, typically 2.3 min late
  • 90% or more on time
  • 80 to 90% on time
  • under 80% on time
  • not enough data
  • unreliable: a bad trip runs 20 min or more behind a normal one
WhatWhenMeasuredFix
ProblemLate by the timetable10:00 to 23:004.1 min lateMore running time
ProblemUnreliable18:00 to 20:0025.7 min swingOperations, not the timetable
Measurements
Late by the timetable · 10:00 to 23:00
medianDelaySeconds 245
spreadSeconds 742
observations 23,191
hoursAffected 13
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 4.1
Unreliable · 18:00 to 20:00
medianDelaySeconds 265.5
spreadSeconds 1,539
observations 3,182
hoursAffected 2
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 4.4
10:00 535710:00 535711:00 545811:00 555912:00 555912:00 576113:00 586213:00 586214:00 606414:00 586215:00 646815:00 636716:00 606416:00 596317:00 596317:00 535718:00 525618:00 485219:00 475119:00 465020:00 465020:00 444821:00 454921:00 424622:00 404422:00 3842

Route check

How route 12 is doing

A plain-language summary of the strongest evidence we have. We say when the data cannot answer a question.

Bottom line

Service is unreliable often enough to affect riders.

66 in 100 arrivals were within 5 minutes of schedule · 55,385 arrivals checked

Confidence in this summary: High

Based on 55,385 arrivals over 19 weekdays, from Aug 8, 2026 to Sep 7, 2026.

Updated Sep 7, 2026, 11:34 p.m.

Where and when does it keep going wrong?

These are repeated patterns, not one bad day or an unverified rider report. They are measured the same way as the verdict above, over the same arrivals, but they are counted per stop rather than per hour, so the two lists need not match line for line.

  1. 5 p.m.–6 p.m.: 51 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (1,483 arrivals over 10 days).
  2. 4 p.m.–5 p.m.: 48 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (1,511 arrivals over 11 days).
  3. 9 p.m.–10 p.m.: 47 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (1,348 arrivals over 7 days).
  4. 7 p.m.–8 p.m.: 46 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (1,425 arrivals over 10 days).

1 current notice affects this route

  • Stop impacts: Blair Station stop I relocation (UPDATED)

Problem places

  1. ALBERT / BAY

    46 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (342 arrivals over 20 days).

    Open this stop
  2. ALBERT / EMPRESS N

    46 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (338 arrivals over 20 days).

    Open this stop
  3. LYON A

    46 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (339 arrivals over 20 days).

    Open this stop
  4. PIMISI C

    45 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (331 arrivals over 20 days).

    Open this stop

These are route-specific settled arrivals. They identify a repeated location and time difference, but do not prove the cause.

Check every trip and date

Open a time period to see each service day, scheduled trip, feed gap, observed public vehicle ID, and the exact counts behind this summary.

What riders want to know

Is any trip cancelled right now?
0 of 8

Checks trips starting at route endpoints in the next 4 hours. This is not a historical cancellation rate.

Possible no-shows after checking feed gaps?
467 of 910 checked trips need a closer look

467 of 910 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 49 of 959 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.

How late does this route get?
The slowest 5 in 100 were more than about 15.3 min late

66 in 100 arrivals were within 5 minutes of schedule.

Do buses bunch or leave long gaps?
7.4 min average predicted wait

1.4 min beyond the scheduled wait, based on 264 arrivals at 27 high-frequency stops over 2 days.

Schedule change check

Fall schedule: before and after

This compares the official schedule that ended with the one that started August 30. Schedule changes are facts about what was planned; they do not prove that a trip ran.

Current published schedule began September 4, 2026

What the official notice says about this route

The City’s public summary did not name this route. The feed comparison below can still show a changed timetable, but it cannot tell us why it changed.

Read the official August 30 service-change notice

One comparable weekday from each published schedule

We use the first Monday after the new schedule began and the Monday one week earlier. Every figure comes from the retained official GTFS versions named below.

Before

Service date checked: August 31, 2026

Scheduled trips
151
Distinct scheduled stops
119
Distinct published paths
4
Published service span
04:0226:34

Feed fingerprint: ecc28a3727bcaff4 · 345fd07d-fb05-4eaa-8ec2-3daf8b7fcbe9

New schedule

Service date checked: September 7, 2026

Scheduled trips
110
Distinct scheduled stops
121
Distinct published paths
4
Published service span
05:5525:31

Feed fingerprint: e0b417f2ea03fcf0 · 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad

Did service improve after the change?

We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.

Still collecting: before has 30,981 arrivals over 13 days; after has 5,721 arrivals over 4 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.

How this route is judged: Regular all-stop route

We compare observed arrivals with the official schedule. A result needs at least 200 arrivals. Within 5 minutes is the rider-facing target used here.

What this data cannot prove

The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.

See the definitions, thresholds and evidence order
  1. Official current feed: explicit cancellations, skipped stops and active notices.
  2. Matched observations: vehicle positions and settled predictions tied to the official schedule.
  3. Official timetable: what was planned, kept separate from what was observed.
  4. Rider and operator reports: leads about routes, times and places to investigate, not numeric proof by themselves.

Would you count on route 12?

No sign-in needed. A vote from a device that is not signed in counts a little less than one from an account, and a person who rates many routes counts a little less on each, so no one voice outweighs the rest.

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Live route map

Where the buses are now

Fresh vehicle positions appear on the route below. A marker stops moving when the evidence runs out. We do not invent movement.

Route and live buses

The line is the official route. Dots show published stops, buses seen now and stops named in current notices.

0 official shapes · 121 stops · 0 vehicle markers

Loading official route geometry · Loading current vehicles

Markers move between GPS fixes using measured progress along the published route. They pause after one measured reporting interval, on a measured standstill, or when evidence becomes stale.

Repeated problem stops: QUEEN / METCALFE, PARLIAMENT B, QUEEN / KENT, LYON A, ALBERT / BAY and 7 more. These are highlighted from route-specific settled arrivals with at least 60 observations over 3 days; the pattern does not prove a cause.

Open the full-screen map
Today’s schedule

Service date September 8, 2026

Towards Blair
75 scheduled trips
4:23 a.m.–2:34 a.m. (next day)
15 min median scheduled gap
Towards Parliament ~ Parlement
20 scheduled trips
4:02 a.m.–1:40 a.m. (next day)
30 min median scheduled gap
Towards Tunney's Pasture
56 scheduled trips
5:49 a.m.–11:11 p.m.
15 min median scheduled gap

Span and median gap are computed from today’s official GTFS stop_times. They are timetable measures, not observed headways or a frequency guarantee.

Next trips from the ends of the route

These are trip starts. For the time at your stop, open that stop’s departure board.

  1. Towards Parliament ~ Parlement

    Starts at BLAIR G

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  2. Towards Parliament ~ Parlement

    Starts at BLAIR G

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  3. Towards Blair

    Starts at PARLIAMENT A

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  4. Towards Blair

    Starts at PARLIAMENT A

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

Showing 4 of 8 trips. Open a stop for its full departure board.

Buses seen now

1 current vehicle position match this route.

The feed identifier is not a verified physical bus or fleet number.

Official notices
  • Stop impacts: Blair Station stop I relocation (UPDATED)

    Timing not published by the operator
    Read notice
Planned changes

No safely matched planned change is recorded for this route.

These are Otranspo register records, separate from operator alerts. A record is attached only when its route label identifies one operator; ambiguous OC Transpo/STO number matches are withheld.

Evidence checked Sep 8, 1:46 a.m.

Provisional results, published evidence

When is this route reliable?

Every hour below is backed by this route’s settled arrivals. “On time” means no more than five minutes early or late, so a bus that leaves very early counts as a failure for the waiting rider.

Evidence window: August 8, 2026 to September 7, 2026

Within 5 minutes of schedule
66.1%
Arrivals checked
55,385
Weekdays with data
19
How late the worst 5 in 100 were
15.3 min late
Patterns by hour (23)
HourOn timeMedianWorst 5 in 100Evidence
00:0092.7%1.5 min late5.6 min late1,043 · 6 days
01:0083.7%1.7 min late6.1 min late827 · 7 days
02:0087.9%0.2 min early7.1 min late323 · 8 days
04:0090.1%1.6 min late5.6 min late795 · 6 days
05:0090.9%2.8 min late5.7 min late1,141 · 6 days
06:0085.6%2.3 min late7.8 min late1,641 · 7 days
07:0081.7%2.7 min late7.2 min late2,135 · 10 days
08:0073.9%3 min late8.8 min late1,710 · 9 days
09:0068.1%2.9 min late10.5 min late1,781 · 8 days
10:0057.8%4 min late14.3 min late2,121 · 10 days
11:0063.3%3.5 min late13.8 min late2,709 · 10 days
12:0058.5%3.9 min late16.3 min late2,120 · 9 days
13:0062.8%3.5 min late14.7 min late2,175 · 7 days
14:0056.1%4.1 min late20.5 min late1,862 · 9 days
15:0056.6%3.8 min late18.3 min late1,785 · 8 days
16:0051.7%4.4 min late19.8 min late1,511 · 11 days
17:0049.1%4.9 min late20.7 min late1,483 · 10 days
18:0058.1%4.2 min late27.1 min late1,757 · 9 days
19:0053.7%4.7 min late33 min late1,425 · 10 days
20:0057.1%4.1 min late15.7 min late1,540 · 10 days
21:0053.1%4.8 min late14.7 min late1,348 · 7 days
22:0064.7%3.5 min late12.5 min late1,355 · 7 days
23:0082.8%2.3 min late7 min late1,119 · 7 days

14 hourly block(s) are below 70% across at least three service days: a repeated pattern, not one bad day.

Scheduled bus, but not observed in realtime

440 / 849 scheduled trips published at least one position across 6 service days (51.8%).

  • 14:0026 / 40 trips without a position35.0%
  • 00:0014 / 23 trips without a position39.1%
  • 13:0027 / 48 trips without a position43.8%
  • 23:0015 / 28 trips without a position46.4%
  • 16:0023 / 44 trips without a position47.7%
  • 12:0025 / 48 trips without a position47.9%

This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.

Arrival check: the last prediction within ten minutes of arrival, counted once per trip, stop and service date. Trip check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.

See all stops and route patterns

Stops and stations

5 official stop patterns

Each row below is one exact stop order published in the official schedule. Short turns and alternate destinations stay separate.

Choose a direction or stop pattern
Clear selection
  • Towards Blair: TUNNEY'S PASTURE E to BLAIR C

    59 stops · 144 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Saturday, Sunday

    7 official service records

    3 added dates and 22 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Blair: TUNNEY'S PASTURE E to BLAIR C

    57 stops · 275 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday

    5 official service records

    0 added dates and 1 removed date

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Blair: PARLIAMENT A to BLAIR C

    46 stops · 367 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Parliament ~ Parlement: BLAIR G to PARLIAMENT B

    51 stops · 344 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Tunney's Pasture: BLAIR G to TUNNEY'S PASTURE C

    62 stops · 445 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar

Official feed version 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad

Source checksum e0b417f2ea03fcf035ed795c07b47461157b81b0c43d43639094105ed66b0a4a

Evidence behind this pageOpen the definition, method, sources, dates, coverage, and known limits.

What is being shown

The current public route group, its published schedule variants and stop patterns, current operations, and matching observed reliability where available.

How it was produced

1 current GTFS route record variants are grouped by operator and public route number. Stop patterns remain tied to their published variant; aggregated reliability records are not merged into an invented percentile.

Evidence dates

Collected or observed
Computed or assembled
Sample
55,385 settled arrivals across 1 matching reliability records.
Coverage
5 published stop patterns containing 275 stop calls are available on this page.
Method or data version
last-prediction-within-ten-minutes-v1; 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad; e0b417f2ea03fcf035ed795c07b47461157b81b0c43d43639094105ed66b0a4a

Sources

Limits to keep in mind

  • Schedule variants can apply on different dates. A grouped route is not a claim that every pattern operates today.
  • Accessibility fields report only what the operator publishes; an unknown value is not confirmation of access.
Suggest a factual correction

Rider evidence

Community reports

Signals below are moderated community aggregates, not official operator notices or reliability scores.

You can report without signing in. Anonymous reports count a little less when we calculate public patterns. You can add an account after submitting.

Report a specific problem

Emergency: call 9-1-1. Check official OC Transpo or STO notices before travelling.

Source: currently imported OC Transpo GTFS. Check the Alerts panel for current official notices and each stop page for observed departures.