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Otranspo

Route

98

OC Transpo

Hawthorne ↔ Hurdman
All imported trips are marked accessible.Imported schedule valid through: Oct 4, 2026

Verdict

What this route needs

Timetable short by 3 to 3.3 min in 2 hours of the day.

Buses leave about 3.1 min late and lose another 2.1 min along the route.

Fix: 3 min more running time on 53 trips. Needs 2 more buses.

This changes running time only. It does not move departure times, rewrite headways, or check that a driver’s shift still fits, and a scheduler has to.

Arrivals within five minutes, by hour of day, last 14 days, 21 hours measured
  1. 00:00: 90.9% of arrivals on time, 232 arrivals, typically 3 min late
  2. 01:00: not enough data
  3. 02:00: not enough data
  4. 03:00: not enough data
  5. 04:00: 100% of arrivals on time, 30 arrivals, typically 1.8 min late
  6. 05:00: 92.7% of arrivals on time, 520 arrivals, typically 0.4 min late
  7. 06:00: 91.1% of arrivals on time, 1,223 arrivals, typically 1.6 min late
  8. 07:00: 76.9% of arrivals on time, 1,466 arrivals, typically 2.1 min late
  9. 08:00: 80.5% of arrivals on time, 872 arrivals, typically 1.7 min late
  10. 09:00: 79.9% of arrivals on time, 942 arrivals, typically 1.7 min late
  11. 10:00: 96.3% of arrivals on time, 994 arrivals, typically 0.7 min late
  12. 11:00: 94.8% of arrivals on time, 1,281 arrivals, typically 0.7 min late
  13. 12:00: 80.9% of arrivals on time, 1,081 arrivals, typically 0.6 min late
  14. 13:00: 83.6% of arrivals on time, 1,055 arrivals, typically 1.1 min late
  15. 14:00: 80.1% of arrivals on time, 1,117 arrivals, typically 1.2 min late
  16. 15:00: 72.4% of arrivals on time, 1,007 arrivals, typically 1.4 min late
  17. 16:00: 64.5% of arrivals on time, 767 arrivals, typically 2.5 min late
  18. 17:00: 69.4% of arrivals on time, 607 arrivals, typically 2.2 min late
  19. 18:00: 65.5% of arrivals on time, 809 arrivals, typically 2.2 min late
  20. 19:00: 67.7% of arrivals on time, 672 arrivals, typically 3.3 min late
  21. 20:00: 71.7% of arrivals on time, 562 arrivals, typically 2 min late
  22. 21:00: 93.8% of arrivals on time, 454 arrivals, typically 1.5 min late
  23. 22:00: 90.8% of arrivals on time, 520 arrivals, typically 1 min late
  24. 23:00: 97.4% of arrivals on time, 460 arrivals, typically 1 min late
  • 90% or more on time
  • 80 to 90% on time
  • under 80% on time
  • not enough data
WhatWhenMeasuredFix
ProblemLate by the timetable00:00 · 19:003 min late · 3.3 min lateMore running time
Measurements
Late by the timetable · 19:00
medianDelaySeconds 198
spreadSeconds 583
observations 672
hoursAffected 1
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 3.3
Late by the timetable · 00:00
medianDelaySeconds 182
spreadSeconds 138
observations 232
hoursAffected 1
suggestedRunningTimeChangeMinutes 3
19:00 333619:00 3134

Route check

How route 98 is doing

A plain-language summary of the strongest evidence we have. We say when the data cannot answer a question.

Bottom line

Usually close to schedule, but check the problem times below.

84 in 100 arrivals were within 5 minutes of schedule · 28,071 arrivals checked

Confidence in this summary: High

Based on 28,071 arrivals over 19 weekdays, from Aug 8, 2026 to Sep 7, 2026.

Updated Sep 7, 2026, 11:34 p.m.

Where and when does it keep going wrong?

These are repeated patterns, not one bad day or an unverified rider report. They are measured the same way as the verdict above, over the same arrivals, but they are counted per stop rather than per hour, so the two lists need not match line for line.

  1. 4 p.m.–5 p.m.: 36 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (767 arrivals over 6 days).
  2. 6 p.m.–7 p.m.: 35 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (809 arrivals over 8 days).
  3. 7 p.m.–8 p.m.: 32 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (672 arrivals over 8 days).
  4. 5 p.m.–6 p.m.: 31 in 100 arrivals were more than 5 minutes early or late (607 arrivals over 7 days).

No current official notice matches this route.

Problem places

We do not yet have enough route-by-stop history to name a recurring problem stop. Rider reports are used as leads, not proof.

Check every trip and date

Open a time period to see each service day, scheduled trip, feed gap, observed public vehicle ID, and the exact counts behind this summary.

What riders want to know

Is any trip cancelled right now?
0 of 7

Checks trips starting at route endpoints in the next 4 hours. This is not a historical cancellation rate.

Possible no-shows after checking feed gaps?
336 of 696 checked trips need a closer look

336 of 696 trips with enough public-feed evidence had no matching position over 7 days. 109 of 805 scheduled trips were excluded because the feed record was incomplete. These are cases to investigate, not confirmed no-shows.

How late does this route get?
The slowest 5 in 100 were more than about 12.2 min late

84 in 100 arrivals were within 5 minutes of schedule.

Do buses bunch or leave long gaps?
6.8 min average predicted wait

0.8 min beyond the scheduled wait, based on 1,236 arrivals at 34 high-frequency stops over 8 days.

Schedule change check

Fall schedule: before and after

This compares the official schedule that ended with the one that started August 30. Schedule changes are facts about what was planned; they do not prove that a trip ran.

Current published schedule began September 4, 2026

What the official notice says about this route

The City’s public summary did not name this route. The feed comparison below can still show a changed timetable, but it cannot tell us why it changed.

Read the official August 30 service-change notice

One comparable weekday from each published schedule

We use the first Monday after the new schedule began and the Monday one week earlier. Every figure comes from the retained official GTFS versions named below.

Before

Service date checked: August 31, 2026

Scheduled trips
150
Distinct scheduled stops
81
Distinct published paths
4
Published service span
04:5524:25

Feed fingerprint: ecc28a3727bcaff4 · 345fd07d-fb05-4eaa-8ec2-3daf8b7fcbe9

New schedule

Service date checked: September 7, 2026

Scheduled trips
66
Distinct scheduled stops
79
Distinct published paths
2
Published service span
06:4223:40

Feed fingerprint: e0b417f2ea03fcf0 · 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad

Did service improve after the change?

We will compare settled arrivals for the 14 days before and after the change. We publish the comparison only after both sides have at least 7 service days and 200 arrivals.

Still collecting: before has 15,107 arrivals over 11 days; after has 2,181 arrivals over 3 days. No improvement or decline is claimed yet.

Checksums let anyone verify which retained timetable produced the counts. A changed count does not identify a cause, cancellation, operator decision, or passenger impact.

How this route is judged: Regular all-stop route

We compare observed arrivals with the official schedule. A result needs at least 200 arrivals. Within 5 minutes is the rider-facing target used here.

What this data cannot prove

The public feed does not provide dependable passenger counts or passed-up-rider events. A missing position does not by itself prove a cancellation, no-show, short turn or cause.

See the definitions, thresholds and evidence order
  1. Official current feed: explicit cancellations, skipped stops and active notices.
  2. Matched observations: vehicle positions and settled predictions tied to the official schedule.
  3. Official timetable: what was planned, kept separate from what was observed.
  4. Rider and operator reports: leads about routes, times and places to investigate, not numeric proof by themselves.

Would you count on route 98?

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Live route map

Where the buses are now

Fresh vehicle positions appear on the route below. A marker stops moving when the evidence runs out. We do not invent movement.

Route and live buses

The line is the official route. Dots show published stops, buses seen now and stops named in current notices.

0 official shapes · 81 stops · 0 vehicle markers

Loading official route geometry · Loading current vehicles

Markers move between GPS fixes using measured progress along the published route. They pause after one measured reporting interval, on a measured standstill, or when evidence becomes stale.

Open the full-screen map
Today’s schedule

Service date September 8, 2026

Towards Hawthorne
56 scheduled trips
5:53 a.m.–12:25 a.m. (next day)
15 min median scheduled gap
Towards South Keys / Hunt Club Loop ~ South Keys / Boucle Hunt Club
21 scheduled trips
6:03 a.m.–7:04 p.m.
26.5 min median scheduled gap
Towards Hurdman
73 scheduled trips
4:55 a.m.–11:31 p.m.
15 min median scheduled gap

Span and median gap are computed from today’s official GTFS stop_times. They are timetable measures, not observed headways or a frequency guarantee.

Next trips from the ends of the route

These are trip starts. For the time at your stop, open that stop’s departure board.

  1. Towards Hurdman

    Starts at HUNT CLUB / HAWTHORNE

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  2. Towards Hurdman

    Starts at HUNT CLUB / HAWTHORNE

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  3. Towards Hurdman

    Starts at HUNT CLUB / HAWTHORNE

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

  4. Towards Hurdman

    Starts at HUNT CLUB LOOP - STOP 2A

    Timetable only. No usable prediction is available for this trip.

Showing 4 of 7 trips. Open a stop for its full departure board.

Buses seen now

The current healthy operator position feed contains no vehicle matched to this route.

Official notices

No matching active notice appears in the current healthy operator feed.

Planned changes

No safely matched planned change is recorded for this route.

These are Otranspo register records, separate from operator alerts. A record is attached only when its route label identifies one operator; ambiguous OC Transpo/STO number matches are withheld.

Evidence checked Sep 8, 2:14 a.m.

Provisional results, published evidence

When is this route reliable?

Every hour below is backed by this route’s settled arrivals. “On time” means no more than five minutes early or late, so a bus that leaves very early counts as a failure for the waiting rider.

Evidence window: August 8, 2026 to September 7, 2026

Within 5 minutes of schedule
84.3%
Arrivals checked
28,071
Weekdays with data
19
How late the worst 5 in 100 were
12.2 min late
Patterns by hour (21)
HourOn timeMedianWorst 5 in 100Evidence
00:0090.9%3 min late5.3 min late232 · 5 days
04:00100.0%1.8 min late3 min late30 · 5 days
05:0092.7%0.4 min late7.9 min late520 · 5 days
06:0091.1%1.6 min late8.7 min late1,223 · 8 days
07:0076.9%2.1 min late9.7 min late1,466 · 7 days
08:0080.5%1.7 min late10.1 min late872 · 6 days
09:0079.9%1.7 min late9.8 min late942 · 7 days
10:0096.3%0.7 min late4.4 min late994 · 7 days
11:0094.8%0.7 min late5.4 min late1,281 · 7 days
12:0080.9%0.6 min late10.1 min late1,081 · 10 days
13:0083.6%1.1 min late13.6 min late1,055 · 7 days
14:0080.1%1.2 min late10.7 min late1,117 · 8 days
15:0072.4%1.4 min late10.4 min late1,007 · 8 days
16:0064.5%2.5 min late17 min late767 · 6 days
17:0069.4%2.2 min late8.7 min late607 · 7 days
18:0065.5%2.2 min late19.2 min late809 · 8 days
19:0067.7%3.3 min late13 min late672 · 8 days
20:0071.7%2 min late12.1 min late562 · 8 days
21:0093.8%1.5 min late5.2 min late454 · 6 days
22:0090.8%1 min late6.1 min late520 · 6 days
23:0097.4%1 min late3.7 min late460 · 7 days

4 hourly block(s) are below 70% across at least three service days: a repeated pattern, not one bad day.

Scheduled bus, but not observed in realtime

360 / 739 scheduled trips published at least one position across 1 service days (48.7%).

  • 14:0033 / 44 trips without a position25.0%
  • 17:0033 / 52 trips without a position36.5%
  • 15:0035 / 56 trips without a position37.5%
  • 08:0034 / 56 trips without a position39.3%
  • 20:0013 / 24 trips without a position45.8%
  • 21:0013 / 24 trips without a position45.8%

This is not a confirmed no-show. A missing position can mean a cancelled or missed bus, but it can also mean an unassigned trip ID or an operator-feed gap. Otranspo publishes the gap because it matters to riders while keeping the conclusion honest.

Arrival check: the last prediction within ten minutes of arrival, counted once per trip, stop and service date. Trip check: the timetable kept before each service day, matched to recorded positions. Exact IDs are preferred; an OC timetable suffix is matched only to one trip on the same route and date with an overlapping time window. Missing timetables, ambiguous matches and feed gaps stay labelled; they are not confirmed no-shows. Sources and limitations.

See all stops and route patterns

Stops and stations

4 official stop patterns

Each row below is one exact stop order published in the official schedule. Short turns and alternate destinations stay separate.

Choose a direction or stop pattern
Clear selection
  • Towards Hawthorne: HURDMAN C to HUNT CLUB / HAWTHORNE

    39 stops · 522 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards South Keys / Hunt Club Loop ~ South Keys / Boucle Hunt Club: HURDMAN C to HUNT CLUB LOOP - STOP 1A

    11 stops · 105 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday

    5 official service records

    0 added dates and 1 removed date

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Hurdman: HUNT CLUB / HAWTHORNE to HURDMAN B

    40 stops · 519 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday

    12 official service records

    3 added dates and 23 removed dates

    View stops and calendar
  • Towards Hurdman: HUNT CLUB LOOP - STOP 2A to HURDMAN A

    11 stops · 80 imported trips

    Scheduled from Sep 4, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026

    Published weekly days: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday

    5 official service records

    0 added dates and 1 removed date

    View stops and calendar

Official feed version 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad

Source checksum e0b417f2ea03fcf035ed795c07b47461157b81b0c43d43639094105ed66b0a4a

Evidence behind this pageOpen the definition, method, sources, dates, coverage, and known limits.

What is being shown

The current public route group, its published schedule variants and stop patterns, current operations, and matching observed reliability where available.

How it was produced

1 current GTFS route record variants are grouped by operator and public route number. Stop patterns remain tied to their published variant; aggregated reliability records are not merged into an invented percentile.

Evidence dates

Collected or observed
Computed or assembled
Sample
28,071 settled arrivals across 1 matching reliability records.
Coverage
4 published stop patterns containing 101 stop calls are available on this page.
Method or data version
last-prediction-within-ten-minutes-v1; 37ff8dfc-21cc-48c3-9eba-fc0d2e50b2ad; e0b417f2ea03fcf035ed795c07b47461157b81b0c43d43639094105ed66b0a4a

Sources

Limits to keep in mind

  • Schedule variants can apply on different dates. A grouped route is not a claim that every pattern operates today.
  • Accessibility fields report only what the operator publishes; an unknown value is not confirmation of access.
Suggest a factual correction

Rider evidence

Community reports

Signals below are moderated community aggregates, not official operator notices or reliability scores.

You can report without signing in. Anonymous reports count a little less when we calculate public patterns. You can add an account after submitting.

Report a specific problem

Emergency: call 9-1-1. Check official OC Transpo or STO notices before travelling.

Source: currently imported OC Transpo GTFS. Check the Alerts panel for current official notices and each stop page for observed departures.